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Project Manager

Source-cited RoleMath page about Project Manager.

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Researched by RoleMath Research. Every figure on this page traces to the official source shown next to it.

Project Manager

Quick Verdict

Project Manager is a tech-industry role tracked under the BLS occupation Project Management Specialists (SOC 13-1082). The figures below are occupation-level; they cover multiple job titles sharing the same BLS measurement group.

Labor Market Context

SOCBLS OccupationMedian Annual WageProjected Change (10-yr)Annual Openings (thousands)Job Zone
13-1082Project Management Specialists$102,3205.6% (faster than average)78.24

This role is measured under the BLS occupation Project Management Specialists (SOC 13-1082), which also covers Technical Program Manager.

Guardrail: These are BLS occupation-level statistics, not salary guarantees or outcome predictions for individuals. Wages vary by employer, geography, experience, and specialization.

Related Certifications

CredentialRelationshipExamWhy it matters
Certified Associate in Project ManagementFoundationCAPMCAPM is an accessible PMI credential for PMs building toward PMP.
CompTIA Project+FoundationPK0-005Project+ provides vendor-neutral project fundamentals for mid-tier PM roles.
Project Management ProfessionalStrong signalPMPPMP is the recognized PM credential signal for mid-level project manager roles (experience prerequisites apply).

Sources

  • BLS OEWS (national wage data): https://www.bls.gov/oes/special-requests/oesm25nat.zip
  • BLS Employment Projections (10-year outlook): https://www.bls.gov/emp/ind-occ-matrix/occupation.xlsx
  • O*NET occupational data: https://www.onetcenter.org/database.html

Citation Ledger

IDSupportsEvidenceSource
CIT-01Occupation wage ($102,320)BLS OEWS national, SOC 13-1082BLS OEWS
CIT-02Occupation outlook (5.6%)BLS Employment Projections, SOC 13-1082BLS EP
CIT-03Annual openings (78.2k)BLS Employment Projections, SOC 13-1082BLS EP
CIT-04Job Zone (4)O*NET, SOC 13-1082O*NET

AI & this career

What we can — and can’t — tell you about AI and this role

Cited context only: an occupation-level outlook, descriptive usage data, an employer-language sample, and attributed research — kept separate. No RoleMath AI score, no automation timeline, no job-loss prediction. How we source this →

Occupation outlook · BLS

Where the occupation is projected to go

no BLS Employment Projections row for this role.

How AI shows up in the work

Descriptive usage, not demand or loss

For this shared SOC, the May 2026 usage sample reports 48.48% augmentation-labeled and 51.52% automation-labeled Claude conversations. Anthropic Anthropic Economic Index dataset, CC-BY.

Across all occupations the same dataset splits 51.4% augmentation / 48.6% automation (May 2026) — shown so a single role’s number is never read as an outlier.

Descriptive Claude usage data, not employment demand, not job loss, and not a personal forecast; CC-BY attribution required.

Employer language · sample

What a posting sample mentions

not yet in the posting sample.

Published research · attributed

What independent research says (not RoleMath’s claim)

  • Eloundou et al. estimate that about 80% of U.S. workers have at least 10% of their work tasks exposed to large language model capabilities (Science 2024). American Association for the Advancement of Science exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • Eloundou et al. estimate that about 19% of U.S. workers have at least 50% of their work tasks exposed to large language model capabilities (Science 2024). American Association for the Advancement of Science exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • Eloundou et al. explicitly disclaim any forecast of AI adoption or timing, describing their measure as capability overlap with tasks rather than a prediction of job loss (Science 2024). American Association for the Advancement of Science exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • OECD reports that high-skill occupations are the most exposed to AI on task-overlap measures (OECD Employment Outlook 2023). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • OECD reports that, as of 2023, there is little empirical evidence of negative employment effects from AI (OECD Employment Outlook 2023). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • OECD and the AIOE research find that AI exposure and automation risk often run in opposite directions, with the most-exposed high-skill occupations tending to be the least at risk of automation. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • Felten, Raj and Seamans construct an occupation-level AI Occupational Exposure index by linking AI capabilities to O*NET occupational abilities (Strategic Management Journal). Strategic Management Journal (Wiley) exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • Stanford Digital Economy Lab researchers find a roughly 16% relative decline in employment for workers ages 22-25 in the most AI-exposed occupations, based on high-frequency ADP payroll data (Canaries in the Coal Mine, working paper). Stanford Digital Economy Lab correlational usage data, not proof.
  • The ILO notes that AI-exposure indicators measure potential task overlap and cannot by themselves establish job loss (Workers' exposure to AI). International Labour Organization exposure = task overlap, not job loss.
  • The Anthropic Economic Index reports no measured systematic rise in unemployment attributable to AI in its usage data. Anthropic correlational usage data, not proof.

Tier A research stays attributed and separate from BLS outlook and employer-language samples.

Every page here connects to the same cited data spine — these are the closest surfaces to what you just read.

Roles & paths this connects to

role comparisonProject Manager vs Technical Program Manager — an honest comparisonrole role cost and timeWhat it costs and how long to become a Project Managerrole role learning roadmapLearning roadmap: how to become a Project Manager

Zoom out

maps to this roleProject Management ProfessionalfoundationPMI CAPMfoundationCompTIA Project+

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